Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
63.48% ( -0.03) | 19.78% ( 0) | 16.73% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.42% ( 0.03) | 38.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.12% ( 0.03) | 60.88% ( -0.04) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% | 11.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.51% ( 0) | 36.49% ( -0.01) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( 0.05) | 36.29% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.93% ( 0.05) | 73.07% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% 3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 4.15% Total : 63.48% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.78% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 16.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |