MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:43:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Norwich

Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Sunday, January 21 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Norwich City

With Norwich having improved of late, this has the potential to be an even contest, particularly given how Leeds failed to convince against Preston. Nevertheless, they have momentum from that contest, leading us to predict another maximum return for Leeds in a close fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
63.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 19.78% (0.004999999999999 0) 16.73% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)38.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45%11.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.29% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.07% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.48%
    Norwich City 16.73%
    Draw 19.78%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 63.48%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.73%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
78.6%
Draw
7.9%
Norwich City
13.5%
126
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
Feb 2, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leeds
1-3
Norwich
Bamford (91')
Roberts (52'), Roofe (65'), Alioski (74')
Vrancic (5', 78'), Pukki (35')
Krul (26'), Stiepermann (83')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
0-3
Leeds

Trybull (50')
Klich (21'), Alioski (26'), Hernandez (67')
Ayling (62'), Berardi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!