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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Norwich

Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Sunday, January 21 at 12pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 West Brom
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Norwich City

 With Norwich having improved of late, this has the potential to be an even contest, particularly given how Leeds failed to convince against Preston. Nevertheless, they have momentum from that contest, leading us to predict another maximum return for Leeds in a close fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
63.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 19.78% (0.004999999999999 0) 16.73% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)38.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45%11.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.29% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.07% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.48%
    Norwich City 16.73%
    Draw 19.78%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 63.48%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.73%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
78.6%
Draw
7.9%
Norwich City
13.5%
126
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leeds
1-3
Norwich
Bamford (91')
Roberts (52'), Roofe (65'), Alioski (74')
Vrancic (5', 78'), Pukki (35')
Krul (26'), Stiepermann (83')
> Match Report
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
0-3
Leeds

Trybull (50')
Klich (21'), Alioski (26'), Hernandez (67')
Ayling (62'), Berardi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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