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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
48.74% (![]() | 24.82% (![]() | 26.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% (![]() | 48.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% (![]() | 70.96% (![]() |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% (![]() | 20.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.68% (![]() | 52.32% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% (![]() | 32.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% (![]() | 69.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.34% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |