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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Blackburn logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Blackburn

Brannagan (67')
Helik (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gueye (33'), Cantwell (53'), Brittain (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Blackburn Rovers

Rovers are getting back into form after their blip around the Christmas period, so we expect them to pick up three points here against Oxford. It should be a tight encounter between the two clubs, but the visitors have a strong defence and we think they can grab a goal to seal another important win for Eustace's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.36% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 37.09% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (0.11 0.11)55.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.09 0.09)76.94% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.024999999999991 0.02)29.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)66.04% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.102 0.1)28.99% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.124 0.12)64.88% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 35.54%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.09%
    Draw 27.36%
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.09%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Blackburn

Oxford United
25.0%
Draw
30.0%
Blackburn Rovers
45.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Blackburn
2-1
Oxford Utd
Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd32216546232367
3Burnley32171323993064
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn32146123731648
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom321114741301147
7Bristol City32111294036445
8Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds32129114548-345
9Middlesbrough31128115042844
10Coventry CityCoventry32128124240244
11Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
12Norwich CityNorwich321110115044643
13Watford32126144248-642
14Millwall311010113132-140
15Preston North EndPreston3191393438-440
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd32911123445-1138
17Swansea CitySwansea32107153343-1037
18Portsmouth3289153955-1633
19Stoke CityStoke31711132839-1132
20Cardiff CityCardiff31710143453-1931
21Hull City3178163142-1129
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31610153464-3028
24Luton TownLuton3176183051-2127


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