Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Luton Town |
39.07% (![]() | 27.27% (![]() | 33.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.36% (![]() | 55.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.21% (![]() | 76.8% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% (![]() | 27.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% (![]() | 63.32% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% (![]() | 31.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% (![]() | 67.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.06% | 1-1 @ 12.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.07% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 66 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 64 |
3 | Burnley | 31 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 61 |
4 | Sunderland | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 59 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 47 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Bristol City | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Watford | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 42 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 41 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 37 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 37 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
> Championship Full Table |