MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 00:20:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Luton Town

Oxford Utd
3 - 2
Luton

Helik (23'), Brown (59'), Leigh (69')
Phillips (10'), Brannagan (83'), Long (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Krauss (11'), McGuinness (26')
Nelson (24'), Krauss (38'), Jones (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Preston
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Luton Town

Bloomfield is a highly respected manager, but he is going to need time to implement his style of play, and it is difficult to see how he can do so with so many defensive injuries. Additionally, Oxford's record at home in recent weeks is strong, and considering the visitors have struggled to find the back of the net, the hosts should be confident of victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawLuton Town
39.07% (0.273 0.27) 27.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 33.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
Both teams to score 49.81% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (0.153 0.15)55.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (0.126 0.13)76.8% (-0.121 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.23 0.23)27.75% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (0.293 0.29)63.32% (-0.287 -0.29)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)31.06% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)67.38% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 39.06%
    Luton Town 33.65%
    Draw 27.26%
Oxford UnitedDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 39.06%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.65%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Luton

Oxford United
59.4%
Draw
18.8%
Luton Town
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
2-2
Oxford Utd
Clark (10'), Krauss (37')
Doughty (56'), Burke (90+7'), Ruddock (90+6')
Walsh (77')
Goodrham (45'), Rodrigues (54')
Kioso (48'), El Mizouni (68'), Moore (89')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Luton
3-1
Oxford Utd
Moncur (3', 73'), Lee (53')
Pearson (77')
Garbutt (60')
Brannagan (45'), Hanson (63'), Browne (80')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-2
Luton
Holmes (48')
Baptiste (28'), Hanson (76'), McMahon (90'), Brannagan (90')
Baptiste (73')
Collins (55'), Potts (90')
Stacey (66'), Lee (76'), Rea (82')
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
-
Luton
2-3
Oxford Utd
Vassell (72'), Hylton (82')
Rea (22'), Mullins (90')
Edwards (10'), Ruddock (70' og.), Johnson (85')
Edwards (34')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Luton
Hylton (2'), Dunkley (51')
Hylton (32'), Kenny (75')
Pigott (44', 58'), Lee (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd31206543222164
3Burnley31161323792861
4Sunderland311611447281959
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom311114641281347
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich311110105043743
9Bristol City31101293836242
10Watford31126134244-242
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds31119114448-442
12Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Swansea CitySwansea31107143342-937
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3179153754-1730
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3177173342-928
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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