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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Oxford United

Luton
2 - 2
Oxford Utd

Clark (10'), Krauss (37')
Doughty (56'), Burke (90+7'), Ruddock (90+6')
Walsh (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goodrham (45'), Rodrigues (54')
Kioso (48'), El Mizouni (68'), Moore (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Oxford United

Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between these two sides, and while neither have been particularly ruthless in attack so far, that is likely to happen again. Oxford's awful away form is a concern, and despite Luton's troubles, they will see themselves as favourites in this one, and could edge a narrow encounter to extend their home unbeaten run to 10 games over the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawOxford United
50.56% (0.103 0.1) 23.83% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.61% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)45.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.077999999999996 0.08)67.61% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.070000000000007 0.07)17.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (0.122 0.12)48.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.94% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.56%
    Oxford United 25.61%
    Draw 23.83%
Luton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.56%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Oxford Utd

Luton Town
62.7%
Draw
18.1%
Oxford United
19.3%
83
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Luton
3-1
Oxford Utd
Moncur (3', 73'), Lee (53')
Pearson (77')
Garbutt (60')
Brannagan (45'), Hanson (63'), Browne (80')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-2
Luton
Holmes (48')
Baptiste (28'), Hanson (76'), McMahon (90'), Brannagan (90')
Baptiste (73')
Collins (55'), Potts (90')
Stacey (66'), Lee (76'), Rea (82')
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
-
Luton
2-3
Oxford Utd
Vassell (72'), Hylton (82')
Rea (22'), Mullins (90')
Edwards (10'), Ruddock (70' og.), Johnson (85')
Edwards (34')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Luton
Hylton (2'), Dunkley (51')
Hylton (32'), Kenny (75')
Pigott (44', 58'), Lee (45')
Aug 15, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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