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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Oxford United

Luton
2 - 2
Oxford Utd

Clark (10'), Krauss (37')
Doughty (56'), Burke (90+7'), Ruddock (90+6')
Walsh (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goodrham (45'), Rodrigues (54')
Kioso (48'), El Mizouni (68'), Moore (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Oxford United

Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between these two sides, and while neither have been particularly ruthless in attack so far, that is likely to happen again. Oxford's awful away form is a concern, and despite Luton's troubles, they will see themselves as favourites in this one, and could edge a narrow encounter to extend their home unbeaten run to 10 games over the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawOxford United
50.56% (0.103 0.1) 23.83% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.61% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)45.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.077999999999996 0.08)67.61% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.070000000000007 0.07)17.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (0.122 0.12)48.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.94% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.56%
    Oxford United 25.61%
    Draw 23.83%
Luton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.56%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Oxford Utd

Luton Town
62.7%
Draw
18.1%
Oxford United
19.3%
83
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Luton
3-1
Oxford Utd
Moncur (3', 73'), Lee (53')
Pearson (77')
Garbutt (60')
Brannagan (45'), Hanson (63'), Browne (80')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-2
Luton
Holmes (48')
Baptiste (28'), Hanson (76'), McMahon (90'), Brannagan (90')
Baptiste (73')
Collins (55'), Potts (90')
Stacey (66'), Lee (76'), Rea (82')
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
-
Luton
2-3
Oxford Utd
Vassell (72'), Hylton (82')
Rea (22'), Mullins (90')
Edwards (10'), Ruddock (70' og.), Johnson (85')
Edwards (34')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Luton
Hylton (2'), Dunkley (51')
Hylton (32'), Kenny (75')
Pigott (44', 58'), Lee (45')
Aug 15, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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