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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Oxford United

Leeds
4 - 0
Oxford Utd

James (9'), Bogle (57'), Aaronson (67'), Solomon (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harris (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Oxford United

Winning nine of their 11 Championship home matches this season, Leeds should be very confident of putting a relegation-threatened Oxford to the sword this weekend. The U's are without a permanent manager following the dismissal of Buckingham, and it is likely that a sense of directionless will only lead to one result at Elland Road for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 6.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawOxford United
78.42% (0.17 0.17) 14.63% (-0.107 -0.11) 6.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.241 0.24)41.6% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (0.242 0.24)64.01% (-0.241 -0.24)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.096999999999994 0.1)8.66% (-0.097099999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.16% (0.235 0.23)29.84% (-0.236 -0.24)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.7% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.71% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)88.29% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 78.41%
    Oxford United 6.95%
    Draw 14.63%
Leeds UnitedDrawOxford United
2-0 @ 14.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.2% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.52% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 78.41%
1-1 @ 6.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 14.63%
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 6.95%

How you voted: Leeds vs Oxford Utd

Leeds United
88.0%
Draw
10.0%
Oxford United
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
P-P
Leeds
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
4-3
Leeds
Henry (7', 43'), Hall (26'), Obika (61')
Roberts (54'), Baker (63'), Clarke (71')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Leeds
2-0
Oxford Utd
Roofe (35'), Dallas (84')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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