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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Oxford United

Leeds
4 - 0
Oxford Utd

James (9'), Bogle (57'), Aaronson (67'), Solomon (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harris (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Oxford United

Winning nine of their 11 Championship home matches this season, Leeds should be very confident of putting a relegation-threatened Oxford to the sword this weekend. The U's are without a permanent manager following the dismissal of Buckingham, and it is likely that a sense of directionless will only lead to one result at Elland Road for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 6.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawOxford United
78.42% (0.17 0.17) 14.63% (-0.107 -0.11) 6.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.241 0.24)41.6% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (0.242 0.24)64.01% (-0.241 -0.24)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.096999999999994 0.1)8.66% (-0.097099999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.16% (0.235 0.23)29.84% (-0.236 -0.24)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.7% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.71% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)88.29% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 78.41%
    Oxford United 6.95%
    Draw 14.63%
Leeds UnitedDrawOxford United
2-0 @ 14.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.2% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.52% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 78.41%
1-1 @ 6.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 14.63%
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 6.95%

How you voted: Leeds vs Oxford Utd

Leeds United
88.0%
Draw
10.0%
Oxford United
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
P-P
Leeds
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
4-3
Leeds
Henry (7', 43'), Hall (26'), Obika (61')
Roberts (54'), Baker (63'), Clarke (71')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Leeds
2-0
Oxford Utd
Roofe (35'), Dallas (84')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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