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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 6.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Oxford United |
78.42% (![]() | 14.63% (![]() | 6.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.39% (![]() | 41.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.99% (![]() | 64.01% (![]() |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.34% (![]() | 8.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.16% (![]() | 29.84% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.3% (![]() | 55.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.71% (![]() | 88.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Oxford United |
2-0 @ 14.43% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 11.77% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.4% Total : 78.41% | 1-1 @ 6.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 14.63% | 0-1 @ 2.82% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 72 | 23 | 49 | 76 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 76 |
3 | Burnley | 36 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 49 | 10 | 39 | 74 |
4 | Sunderland | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 56 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Bristol City | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 53 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 52 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 50 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 49 |
11 | Watford | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 |
12 | Millwall | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 48 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 44 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
17 | Portsmouth | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 39 |
19 | Hull City | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 37 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 36 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 36 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 32 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 31 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 30 |
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