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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
42.68% ( 0.56) | 25.91% ( 0.08) | 31.41% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -0.53) | 50.76% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( -0.47) | 72.66% ( 0.47) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( 0.07) | 57.7% ( -0.07) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( -0.69) | 30.12% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.74% ( -0.84) | 66.26% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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