MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 18:36:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
2 - 1
Stoke

Morris (24'), Adebayo (90')
Chong (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cannon (6')
Burger (85'), Koumas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Stoke City

Neither side is having a strong season so far, with both struggling in recent weeks, but with Luton having the home advantage, where they have lost just one of their last eight matches, we expect a victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawStoke City
42.68% (0.562 0.56) 25.91% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 31.41% (-0.636 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.495 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.527 -0.53)50.76% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.466 -0.47)72.66% (0.467 0.47)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (0.067 0.07)57.7% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-0.69 -0.69)30.12% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-0.837 -0.84)66.26% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.68%
    Stoke City 31.41%
    Draw 25.9%
Luton TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.68%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Stoke City
18.5%
54
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
1-0
Stoke
Ruddock (6')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Luton
Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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