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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
42.39% ( 0.02) | 26.35% ( 0.02) | 31.26% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% ( -0.1) | 52.59% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.75% ( -0.08) | 74.24% ( 0.08) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( -0.03) | 24.57% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( -0.05) | 59.06% ( 0.05) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( -0.08) | 31.14% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( -0.09) | 67.47% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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