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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 1
Swansea

Adebayo (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grimes (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Luton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Swansea City

This match is difficult to call as one of the worst defences square off against one of the poorest attacks. With that in mind, we are playing it safe and predicting a competitive draw, a result that suits neither of these teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 31.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)52.59% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)74.24% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.57% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)31.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.47% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.38%
    Swansea City 31.27%
    Draw 26.35%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.27%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
34.6%
Swansea City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Gameweek 36
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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