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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 1
Swansea

Adebayo (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grimes (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Luton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Swansea City

This match is difficult to call as one of the worst defences square off against one of the poorest attacks. With that in mind, we are playing it safe and predicting a competitive draw, a result that suits neither of these teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 31.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)52.59% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)74.24% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.57% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)31.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.47% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.38%
    Swansea City 31.27%
    Draw 26.35%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.27%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
34.6%
Swansea City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Gameweek 36
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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