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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Oxford United

Sunderland
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Oxford United

With Oxford proving difficult to beat of late, they will fancy their chances of continuing their unbeaten run in the North-East. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Black Cats, whose extra quality in the final third may lead to them prevailing by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawOxford United
52.12% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 24.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 23.77% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.116 -0.12)48.13% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.106 -0.11)70.29% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.119 -0.12)18.44% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.204 -0.2)49.62% (0.209 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.64% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.36% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.12%
    Oxford United 23.77%
    Draw 24.11%
SunderlandDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Oxford Utd

Sunderland
72.6%
Draw
17.9%
Oxford United
9.5%
84
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
1-2
Sunderland
Moore (35')
Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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