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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Oxford United

Sunderland
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Oxford United

With Oxford proving difficult to beat of late, they will fancy their chances of continuing their unbeaten run in the North-East. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Black Cats, whose extra quality in the final third may lead to them prevailing by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawOxford United
52.12% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 24.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 23.77% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.116 -0.12)48.13% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.106 -0.11)70.29% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.119 -0.12)18.44% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.204 -0.2)49.62% (0.209 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.64% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.36% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.12%
    Oxford United 23.77%
    Draw 24.11%
SunderlandDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Oxford Utd

Sunderland
72.6%
Draw
17.9%
Oxford United
9.5%
84
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
1-2
Sunderland
Moore (35')
Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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