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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
34.48% ( -0.32) | 24.51% ( 0.06) | 41% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% ( -0.34) | 43.7% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% ( -0.34) | 66.09% ( 0.34) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.24% ( -0.34) | 24.76% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.68% ( -0.48) | 59.32% ( 0.48) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( -0.03) | 21.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( -0.04) | 54.36% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Burnley | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 17 |
3 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
7 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
8 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Hull City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
12 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 8 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
17 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
19 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
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