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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Stoke
3 - 0
Plymouth

Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Leicester
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

This has the potential to be an extremely tense affair, one in which both sides may be focused on avoiding losing. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
44.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 29.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.94%
    Plymouth Argyle 29.63%
    Draw 25.42%
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Stoke vs Plymouth

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Plymouth Argyle
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Plymouth
2-1
Stoke
Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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