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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Stoke
3 - 0
Plymouth

Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Leicester
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

This has the potential to be an extremely tense affair, one in which both sides may be focused on avoiding losing. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
44.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 29.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.94%
    Plymouth Argyle 29.63%
    Draw 25.42%
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Stoke vs Plymouth

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Plymouth Argyle
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Plymouth
2-1
Stoke
Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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