Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
