MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 07:39:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Plymouth Argyle

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Cooper (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Although it remains to be seen whether Millwall will react positively or negatively to playing with reduced pressure, we cannot ignore their three successive wins. While Plymouth have improved of late, a home victory looks far more likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
51.02% (0.188 0.19) 24.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (0.178 0.18)50.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.156 0.16)72.72% (-0.155 -0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.148 0.15)19.92% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.235 0.23)52.06% (-0.235 -0.23)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 24.12%
    Draw 24.84%
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.12%

How you voted: Millwall vs Plymouth

Millwall
70.4%
Draw
14.8%
Plymouth Argyle
14.8%
54
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!