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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Reading |
54.98% ( -0) | 24.03% ( 0) | 20.99% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0) | 50.7% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0) | 72.6% ( 0) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.67% ( -0) | 18.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.58% ( -0) | 49.41% ( 0) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% ( -0) | 38.72% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% ( -0) | 75.46% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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