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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Birmingham logo

Reading
1 - 1
Birmingham

Carroll (7')
Fornah (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jutkiewicz (29')
Bielik (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Reading and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Birmingham City

Reading are in a dangerous situation following their six-point deduction and desperately need three points to ease their understandable relegation worries. Birmingham will be hopeful of continuing a decent run of results and performances in Berkshire on Friday, and we believe they will do just that to all but secure their Championship safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
38.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.4% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 38.89%
    Birmingham City 33.95%
    Draw 27.15%
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.95%

How you voted: Reading vs Birmingham

Reading
33.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Bielik (43')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Reading
1-2
Birmingham
Meite (61')
Meite (90+3')
Toral (29', 37')
Hogan (39'), Dean (67'), Etheridge (80'), Leko (88')
Dean (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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