Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 1
Reading

Conway (45+2')
Taylor-Clarke (23'), Mehmeti (65'), James (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Joao (72')
Holmes (4'), Yiadom (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Reading

Both teams required the international break to reset ahead of the run-in, and it remains to be seen who that suited the most. With home advantage in their favour, we have to back Bristol City, albeit in a close match and where they may only prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Reading
53.82% ( 0.1)	25.05% ( -0.03)	21.13% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.27% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.52% (

0.08)

54.48% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16% (

0.07)

75.84% (

-0.06)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.77% (

0.07)

20.23% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.45% (

0.11)

52.55% (

-0.11)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.26% (

-0.02)

40.74% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.68% (

-0.01)

77.32% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 53.81%

Reading 21.13%

Draw 25.04%

Bristol City	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 53.81%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.13%