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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Reading logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Reading

Conway (45+2')
Taylor-Clarke (23'), Mehmeti (65'), James (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joao (72')
Holmes (4'), Yiadom (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Reading

Both teams required the international break to reset ahead of the run-in, and it remains to be seen who that suited the most. With home advantage in their favour, we have to back Bristol City, albeit in a close match and where they may only prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawReading
53.82% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 25.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.13% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.27% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)54.48% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.065999999999999 0.07)75.84% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.072000000000003 0.07)20.23% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (0.11199999999999 0.11)52.55% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.74% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 53.81%
    Reading 21.13%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Reading

Bristol City
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Reading
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-1
Reading
Semenyo (44'), Morrison (47' og.)
Kalas (32'), Dasilva (67'), Martin (82'), Williams (90+6')
Swift (74' pen.)
Holmes (22')
Aug 17, 2021 8pm
Reading
2-3
Bristol City
Azeez (19'), Moore (81')
Weimann (5', 52'), Martin (14')
James (90+2')
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-2
Reading

Hunt (20'), Lansbury (67'), Moore (76'), Bakinson (90+3')
Joao (42'), Morrison (45')
Richards (37'), Ejaria (69'), Olise (75')
Nov 28, 2020 12.30pm
Reading
3-1
Bristol City
Ejaria (54'), Meite (76'), Joao (90+2')
Wells (73')
Moore (65'), Martin (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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