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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Preston North End logo

Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Preston

Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Steffen (50'), Forss (76'), Fry (78'), Bola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (45+2'), Fernandez (67'), Diaby (76'), Delap (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Preston North End

With Preston travelling to the North East full of confidence, they will relish the opportunity to further derail Middlesbrough's automatic promotion bid. However, the home side's extra quality in attack may prove key, and we expect Carrick's side to come through in an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
62.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 22.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.57% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.058 0.06)50.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.37% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.61% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.052 0.05)44.95% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.042000000000002 0.04)80.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 62.41%
    Preston North End 15.57%
    Draw 22.01%
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.57%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Preston

Middlesbrough
Draw
Preston North End
Middlesbrough
63.0%
Draw
29.6%
Preston North End
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Preston
Storey (22' og.), Tavernier (51')
Fisher (66')

Potts (62')
Browne (36')
Dec 9, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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