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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
62.42% (![]() | 22.01% (![]() | 15.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% (![]() | 50.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.64% (![]() | 72.37% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.39% (![]() | 15.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.39% (![]() | 44.61% (![]() |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.05% (![]() | 44.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.11% (![]() | 80.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 13.03% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.1% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |