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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Preston North End logo

Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Preston

Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Steffen (50'), Forss (76'), Fry (78'), Bola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (45+2'), Fernandez (67'), Diaby (76'), Delap (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Preston North End

With Preston travelling to the North East full of confidence, they will relish the opportunity to further derail Middlesbrough's automatic promotion bid. However, the home side's extra quality in attack may prove key, and we expect Carrick's side to come through in an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
62.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 22.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.57% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.058 0.06)50.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.37% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.61% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.052 0.05)44.95% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.042000000000002 0.04)80.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 62.41%
    Preston North End 15.57%
    Draw 22.01%
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.57%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Preston

Middlesbrough
63.0%
Draw
29.6%
Preston North End
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Preston
Storey (22' og.), Tavernier (51')
Fisher (66')

Potts (62')
Browne (36')
Dec 9, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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