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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Reading |
60.91% ( -0.98) | 22.64% ( 0.74) | 16.45% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 46.44% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.54% ( -2.55) | 51.45% ( 2.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.74% ( -2.27) | 73.26% ( 2.26) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.53% ( -1.2) | 16.47% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.82% ( -2.2) | 46.18% ( 2.2) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.6% ( -1.22) | 44.4% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.55% ( -1.01) | 80.45% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.84% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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