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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Reading logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Reading

FT(HT: 1-0)
Casadei (68')
Lumley (85'), Ehibhaimha (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Reading

While anything can happen in the Championship, this feels like one of those games which could be a foregone conclusion. The teams are at the opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to their respective home and away records, leading us to back a comfortable win for Rovers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawReading
60.91% (-0.978 -0.98) 22.64% (0.738 0.74) 16.45% (0.237 0.24)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-1.697 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-2.548 -2.55)51.45% (2.545 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-2.267 -2.27)73.26% (2.263 2.26)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-1.198 -1.2)16.47% (1.195 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (-2.204 -2.2)46.18% (2.201 2.2)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6% (-1.218 -1.22)44.4% (1.214 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55% (-1.006 -1.01)80.45% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 60.89%
    Reading 16.45%
    Draw 22.63%
Blackburn RoversDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.79 0.79)
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.214 -0.21)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 60.89%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.716 0.72)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.45%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Reading

Blackburn Rovers
85.3%
Draw
10.3%
Reading
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2022 8pm
Reading
3-0
Blackburn
McIntyre (14'), Hoilett (61'), Joao (78')
Fornah (53'), Holmes (55'), Guinness-Walker (63'), Lumley (87'), N'Diaye (90+6')

Pickering (12'), Ayala (55')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
2-0
Reading
Gallagher (61'), Dolan (64')
Buckley (38'), Paul van Hecke (72'), Poveda (79'), Johnson (90+1')

Swift (56'), Drinkwater (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 8pm
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Blackburn
2-4
Reading
Armstrong (3', 66')
Holtby (5'), Trybull (20')
Meite (1'), Olise (15'), Laurent (18'), Joao (83')
Cabral (76'), Joao (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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