Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Reading
While anything can happen in the Championship, this feels like one of those games which could be a foregone conclusion. The teams are at the opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to their respective home and away records, leading us to back a comfortable win for Rovers.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 60.91% . A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.45% .
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%) , while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.94%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result Blackburn Rovers Draw Reading 60.91% ( -0.98) 22.64% ( 0.74) 16.45% ( 0.24)
Both teams to score 46.44% ( -1.7)
48.54% ( -2.55) 51.45% ( 2.55)
26.74% ( -2.27) 73.26% ( 2.26)
83.53% ( -1.2) 16.47% ( 1.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 53.82% ( -2.2) 46.18% ( 2.2)
55.6% ( -1.22) 44.4% ( 1.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.55% ( -1.01) 80.45% ( 1)
Blackburn Rovers 60.89%
Reading 16.45%
Draw 22.63%
Blackburn Rovers Draw Reading 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.84% Total : 60.89% 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.63% 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.45%
How you voted: Blackburn vs Reading
Blackburn Rovers
Draw
Reading
68
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 00:13:20
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