Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.