Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
QPR

Spence (55'), Yates (83'), Johnson (87')
Yates (62'), Davis (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gray (40')
Dozzell (36'), Dunne (43'), Field (54'), Wallace (60'), Odubajo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Huddersfield Town	46	17	82
4	Nottingham Forest	46	33	80
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75

Queens Park Rangers

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	West Bromwich Albion	46	7	67
11	Queens Park Rangers	46	1	66
12	Coventry City	46	1	64

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

On the back of their excellent win at Luton, QPR head into this game with plenty of confidence. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Forest's general dominance at the City Ground, leading to a prediction of a narrow victory for the East Midlands giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
48.86%	26.6%	24.54%

Both teams to score 46.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.88%

57.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01%

77.99%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55%

23.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55%

57.45%

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.09%

38.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36%

75.64%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 48.86%

Queens Park Rangers 24.54%

Draw 26.6%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 13.23% 2-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.86%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.54%