Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.