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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
36.37% | 30.6% | 33.02% |
Both teams to score 40.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.72% | 85.27% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% | 35.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% | 71.95% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% | 37.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% | 74.31% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 7.2% 2-1 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.2% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.59% | 0-1 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 33.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |