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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Millwall

Brown (41')
Batth (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Mason Bennett secures Millwall's win at Stoke.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
36.37%30.6%33.02%
Both teams to score 40.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.99%67.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.72%85.27%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8%35.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05%71.95%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46%37.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68%74.31%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 36.37%
    Millwall 33.02%
    Draw 30.59%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.79%
2-0 @ 7.2%
2-1 @ 7.06%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 13.2%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.59%
0-1 @ 12.94%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
58.7%
Draw
23.9%
Millwall
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
0-0
Stoke
Thompson (34')
Brown (90')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Thompson (28'), Wallace (75' pen.)
Ferguson (45')
Apr 27, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 45
Millwall
0-0
Stoke
Leonard (75')
Shawcross (74'), McClean (84')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
1-0
Millwall
Berahino (61')
Clucas (83')

Elliott (65'), Wallace (89'), Hutchinson (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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