Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
48.74% ( 0.07) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 26.05% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% ( 0.05) | 50.73% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% ( 0.04) | 72.62% ( -0.04) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0.05) | 20.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% ( 0.08) | 53.5% ( -0.08) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.9% ( -0.02) | 34.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.21% ( -0.02) | 70.79% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Burnley | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 58 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
> Championship Full Table |