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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Stoke

Watson (7', 86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koumas (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Sunderland
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke City

This could turn into a tense game between two teams who are gradually losing confidence in getting wins on the board. However, Sunderland have more reason to throw caution to the wind and it may lead to them delivering a late victory at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
47.78% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.81% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.067999999999998 0.07)52.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.056999999999999 0.06)74.32% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.39% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.54% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.77%
    Stoke City 26.45%
    Draw 25.76%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Stoke City
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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