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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Stoke

Watson (7', 86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koumas (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Sunderland
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke City

This could turn into a tense game between two teams who are gradually losing confidence in getting wins on the board. However, Sunderland have more reason to throw caution to the wind and it may lead to them delivering a late victory at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
47.78% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.81% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.067999999999998 0.07)52.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.056999999999999 0.06)74.32% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.39% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.54% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.77%
    Stoke City 26.45%
    Draw 25.76%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Stoke City
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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