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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Burnley logo

Swansea
1 - 2
Burnley

Cooper (27')
Darling (12'), Allen (45+2'), Latibeaudiere (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maatsen (13', 22')
Brownhill (41'), Beyer (58'), Berg Gudmundsson (79'), Barnes (90+5'), Benson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Burnley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Burnley

Both sides head into Monday's contest in high spirits, but league leaders Burnley will be regarded as strong favourites to kick-start 2023 with another victory. Indeed, the Clarets have looked unstoppable in recent weeks and although Swansea boast a good record on home soil, we believe that Kompany and co will get the job done at the Liberty Stadium and maintain their position at the Championship summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
40.72% (1.299 1.3) 26.86% (-0.185 -0.19) 32.41% (-1.122 -1.12)
Both teams to score 50.74% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.48099999999999 0.48)54.31% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.398 0.4)75.7% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.93299999999999 0.93)26.22% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.235 1.24)61.32% (-1.241 -1.24)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.508 -0.51)31.22% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.593 -0.59)67.56% (0.58800000000001 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 40.71%
    Burnley 32.41%
    Draw 26.85%
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.318 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley

Swansea City
14.3%
Draw
10.0%
Burnley
75.7%
70
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')

Sorinola (23')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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