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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
40.72% (![]() | 26.86% (![]() | 32.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.68% (![]() | 54.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% (![]() | 75.7% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% (![]() | 26.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% (![]() | 61.32% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% (![]() | 31.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% (![]() | 67.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.53% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |