Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 1
Burnley

Clarke (45'), Baker (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cullen (61')
Cullen (29'), Barnes (33'), Maatsen (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Stoke
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 0-2 Burnley

Having had a day longer of preparation than the leaders, Stoke will fancy their chances of pulling off the upset. However, it is impossible to back against the Clarets right now, leaving us to predict another win and clean sheet for Kompany's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Burnley
36.24% ( -0.52)	26.35% ( -0.21)	37.41% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32% (

0.89)

51.68% (

-0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54% (

0.77)

73.46% (

-0.77)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49% (

0.12)

27.5% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99% (

0.15)

63.01% (

-0.15)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

0.85)

26.83% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

1.11)

62.13% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 36.24%

Burnley 37.41%

Draw 26.35%

Stoke City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.41%