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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds logo

Cardiff
0 - 3
Leeds


Ng (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bamford (13'), James (31'), Rutter (88')
Gruev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Leeds United

On the back of last week's debacle at Hillsborough, Cardiff may benefit from playing in such a high-profile fixture. Nevertheless, the superior quality comes from Leeds' ranks, and we feel that the visitors will edge this contest courtesy of a fast start to proceedings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
29.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.83% (0.0019999999999989 0) 45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 52.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63%51.37% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.47% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 29.17%
    Leeds United 45%
    Draw 25.83%
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Leeds

Cardiff City
16.7%
Draw
9.5%
Leeds United
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Leeds
2-2
Cardiff
Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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