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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Swansea logo

Leicester
3 - 1
Swansea

Dewsbury-Hall (3'), Mavididi (69' pen.), Akgun (72')
Dewsbury-Hall (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Allen (90+5')
Wood (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leicester City 3-0 Swansea City

Leicester were able to hand a number of their first-team stars a rest during the FA Cup win over Birmingham, meaning the Foxes should be raring to put Swansea to the sword at the King Power. The Swans have been woeful during away matches against Southampton and Bournemouth over the past month, and with the Foxes runaway leaders at the top of the Championship, it is set to be another tough outing for the Welsh side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSwansea City
65.86% (0.0049999999999955 0) 18.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 15.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98%74.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 65.86%
    Swansea City 15.27%
    Draw 18.88%
Leicester CityDrawSwansea City
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.86%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.27%

How you voted: Leicester vs Swansea

Leicester City
84.3%
Draw
8.3%
Swansea City
7.4%
108
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
1-3
Leicester
Grimes (20')
Cullen (14'), Darling (90+7')
Vestergaard (44'), Fatawu (63'), Iheanacho (87')
Justin (49'), Pereira (56'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+8')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Feb 12, 2017 4pm
Swansea
2-0
Leicester
Mawson (36'), Olsson (45')
Fer (26'), Cork (40')

Huth (36'), Chilwell (57')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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