FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth5 - 0Swansea
The Match
Match Report
Bournemouth book their spot in the fifth round of the FA Cup courtesy of a 5-0 victory over Championship outfit Swansea City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Swansea City |
33.39% ( -0.02) | 23.29% ( -0) | 43.32% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( 0) | 38.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.58% ( 0.01) | 60.42% ( -0.01) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.01) | 22.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.54% ( -0.02) | 56.45% ( 0.01) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 0.01) | 18.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.06% ( 0.02) | 48.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Bournemouth 33.39%
Swansea City 43.32%
Draw 23.29%
| Bournemouth | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 43.32% |
How you voted: Bournemouth vs Swansea
Bournemouth
81.1%Draw
9.4%Swansea City
9.4%127
Form Guide
