Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds3 - 1Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Leeds
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 2-1 Swansea City
With Leeds having been below their best either side of the international break, Swansea will sense an opportunity to get back on track. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Leeds' superior firepower - particularly at Elland Road - and it leaves us to predict a hard-earned win for the home side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Swansea City |
52.39% ( -0.54) | 22.41% ( 0.68) | 25.2% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.66% ( -2.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( -3.42) | 39.13% ( 3.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% ( -3.68) | 61.46% ( 3.68) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( -1.37) | 15.05% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.44% ( -2.66) | 43.55% ( 2.65) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( -1.94) | 28.58% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.62% ( -2.5) | 64.38% ( 2.5) |
| Score Analysis |
Leeds United 52.39%
Swansea City 25.2%
Draw 22.4%
| Leeds United | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.9)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.99% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.66)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 25.2% |
How you voted: Leeds vs Swansea
Leeds United
83.3%Draw
16.7%Swansea City
0.0%36
