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Premier League
Watford logo
Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Burnley logo

Watford
1 - 2
Burnley

Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Burnley

Last Six:
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

 Finding the back of the net at the Etihad should give Watford the belief that they can make the net ripple at least once in a game with so much at stake, but a revitalised Burnley are sure to take advantage of the Hornets' ongoing defensive woes. It has been nothing but defeat after defeat for Watford in front of their own fans recently, and while Hodgson will rally his troops as best he can, their fate should be virtually sealed as Burnley boost their own hopes of survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
34.45%26.49%39.06%
Both teams to score 52.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04%28.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15%64.85%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63%61.36%
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.45%
    Burnley 39.05%
    Draw 26.49%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
19.3%
Draw
18.2%
Burnley
62.5%
176
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Burnley
0-0
Watford

Stephens (45')

King (20'), Cleverley (90+1')
Jun 25, 2020 6pm
Burnley
1-0
Watford
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Watford
0-3
Burnley
> Match Report
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Watford
0-0
Burnley

Deulofeu (79')

Mee (63'), Bardsley (82')
> Match Report
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Burnley
1-3
Watford
Tarkowski (6')
Ward (53')
Gray (3'), Deeney (48'), Hughes (51')
Hughes (41'), Janmaat (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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