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Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Burnley logo

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')
Kamara (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

Preview: Watford vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A pair of undefeated Championship sides will square off on Friday as Watford play host to Burnley at Vicarage Road in the third match of the season for both teams.

The Hornets managed to follow up a 1-0 victory in their opener versus Sheffield United by drawing West Bromwich Albion 1-1, while the Clarets scored early in the second half, drawing Luton Town by that same score.


Match preview

Ismaila Sarr celebrates scoring for Watford on August 8, 2022© Reuters

After a solid opening to their campaign versus the Blades, we saw a Hornets team similar to the one that struggled mightily in the Premier League last season as they were dominated in possession by the Baggies (70%-30%) and were fortunate to walk away with a draw.

Last season, Rob Edwards guided Forest Green Rovers to the League Two title, and he will be tasked with bringing this side back into the top flight after their last spell lasted only one campaign.

As a former centre-back, Edwards will need to improve a defensive unit that conceded the third-most goals in the Premier League last season (77), while he will also have to find a way to reinvigorate the confidence of a side that went through three different managers in 2021-22.

In the early going, Edwards has been impressed with his team's commitment on the field, as there seems to be a lot more camaraderie already within this group, which we struggled to see in their previous campaign.

Being more aggressive on and off the ball will be a point of emphasis as they return home to face a team who finished with 12 more points than them in the previous Premier League campaign.

Another victory at Vicarage Road would match their entire total from last season, when they only managed to earn eight points at home.

Burnley boss Vincent Kompany on August 6, 2022© Reuters

It is a transitional time for Burnley, who were able to stay in the top flight for several years despite a lack of funding when compared to most Premier League clubs.

Having made millions from selling several players during the summer transfer window, Vincent Kompany has been able to develop some solid early continuity with this group.

The former captain of Manchester City, who returned to England from Anderlecht, played in a system at the Etihad which was designed to maintain possession for long stretches.

In both of their domestic fixtures thus far, this team have managed to accumulate 70% of the ball or more, executing their new bosses' tactics relatively well.

The Belgian's philosophy is a sharp contrast to the Sean Dyche approach when they played primarily in a long-passing system, relying on speed from their front players, while maintaining a relatively consistent shape.

In only two matches, we have seen a Burnley side show plenty of creativity with multiple scoring opportunities in both games, beating Huddersfield Town 1-0 in their opener, before coming back against the Hatters.

Showing more quality in the final third is something Kompany has asked from his players moving forward, as they have only scored once in each of their games, despite all of their chances.

Watford Championship form:
  • W
  • D

Burnley Championship form:
  • W
  • D


Team News

New Watford boss Rob Edwards on August 1, 2022© Reuters

Ismaila Sarr scored his first of the campaign for the Hornets in their previous encounter, with Craig Cathcart collecting an assist, as Sarr and Joao Pedro are the only players with goals for them so far domestically, while Daniel Bachmann made three saves in their opening home fixture to collect his first clean sheet of the campaign.

Emmanuel Dennis is still searching for his first of the season after leading them with 10 goals in the top flight over the previous campaign, Mario Gaspar made his Hornets debut in their last match, replacing Hassane Kamara, while Rey Manaj, who came over on a free transfer from Barcelona this summer, has come off the substitutes bench in both of their domestic encounters thus far.

Imran Louza is out until late August because of an issue in his knee, while William Troost-Ekong saw his first action of the season on matchday two, replacing Francisco Sierralta for the final seven minutes plus stoppage time.

Josh Brownhill picked up his first goal of the new season for Burnley this weekend after Ian Maatsen had the only tally in their opening domestic fixture.

Maatsen, Charlie Taylor, Taylor Harwood-Bellis and Connor Roberts made life relatively easy for Arijanet Muric, as the goalkeeper from Kosovo did not have to make a single save in their shutout victory versus Huddersfield.

Ashley Westwood will not be back until the end of the month at the earliest because of a broken ankle, and Johann Berg Gudmundsson could return in late August from his leg injury.

Watford possible starting lineup:
Bachmann; Cathcart, Troost-Ekong, Kabasele; Sema, Kayembe, Cleverley, Gosling; Pedro; Dennis, Sarr

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Muric; Roberts, Harwood-Bellis, Taylor, Maatsen; Brownhill, Cork, Cullen, Phillips; Benson, Barnes


SM words green background

We say: Watford 1-2 Burnley

These two teams have the same number of points, and are also tied when it comes to goals for and goals against, so this should be an even match featuring a pair of sides who were both relegated from the Premier League last season.

Burnley look a lot more comfortable under their new system, and we expect the Clarets' energy and aggressiveness will help them past the home side in this one, as Watford seem to be taking a little longer to develop some solid chemistry.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Written by
Joel Lefevre

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Game History

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
33.5%
Draw
23.9%
Burnley
42.6%
176
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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