Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 3
Middlesbrough

Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')

FT(HT: 1-2)

McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bradford 0-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-1 Middlesbrough

On the basis of their most recent results, there is an argument that Boro are now favourites to prevail from this contest. Nevertheless, we cannot get carried away by Boro's form in the short term, and a low-scoring draw is probably the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Middlesbrough
38.33% ( 0.05)	25.21% ( -0.02)	36.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.99% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.36% (

0.1)

46.63% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1% (

0.09)

68.9% (

-0.09)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

0.07)

24% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75% (

0.1)

58.25% (

-0.1)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

0.03)

25.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.33% (

0.04)

59.67% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Watford 38.33%

Middlesbrough 36.46%

Draw 25.21%

Watford	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.33%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.46%