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Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 3
Middlesbrough

Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Middlesbrough

On the basis of their most recent results, there is an argument that Boro are now favourites to prevail from this contest. Nevertheless, we cannot get carried away by Boro's form in the short term, and a low-scoring draw is probably the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
38.33% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 25.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 36.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.99% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (0.097000000000001 0.1)46.63% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (0.09 0.09)68.9% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (0.066999999999993 0.07)24% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (0.097999999999999 0.1)58.25% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)25.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)59.67% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.33%
    Middlesbrough 36.46%
    Draw 25.21%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.46%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Middlesbrough
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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