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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
3 - 0
Watford

Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Watford

Both sides possess plenty of quality and are bound to cause one another problems, and despite the hosts being yet to put a winning streak together, we see it as being only a matter of time for Farke's men and fancy them to kick off with an impressive victory at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
48.94% (2.563 2.56) 25.01% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 26.05% (-2.657 -2.66)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-2.372 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-2.149 -2.15)49.93% (2.146 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-1.947 -1.95)71.92% (1.944 1.94)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.224 0.22)20.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.356 0.36)52.87% (-0.359 -0.36)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-3.179 -3.18)33.68% (3.175 3.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-3.616 -3.62)70.33% (3.613 3.61)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.93%
    Watford 26.05%
    Draw 25.01%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.985 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.841 0.84)
3-1 @ 5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.474 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.28 -0.28)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.05%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
72.4%
Draw
20.7%
Watford
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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