Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
We said: Leeds United 2-1 Watford
Both sides possess plenty of quality and are bound to cause one another problems, and despite the hosts being yet to put a winning streak together, we see it as being only a matter of time for Farke's men and fancy them to kick off with an impressive victory at Elland Road.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.94% . A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25% .
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%) . The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result Leeds United Draw Watford 48.94% ( 2.56) 25.01% ( 0.09) 26.05% ( -2.66)
Both teams to score 52.77% ( -2.37)
50.06% ( -2.15) 49.93% ( 2.15)
28.08% ( -1.95) 71.92% ( 1.94)
79.57% ( 0.22) 20.43% ( -0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.13% ( 0.36) 52.87% ( -0.36)
66.32% ( -3.18) 33.68% ( 3.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.67% ( -3.62) 70.33% ( 3.61)
Leeds United 48.93%
Watford 26.05%
Draw 25.01%
Leeds United Draw Watford 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.98) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.84) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.93% 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.01% 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.05%
How you voted: Leeds vs Watford
29
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 03:10:14
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