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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
QPR


Greenwood (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dozzell (43'), Colback (71')
Colback (50'), Chair (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

With the pressure ramping up on both managers, this feels like an important fixture for differing reasons. While we think that QPR will give a good account of themselves, we are backing Boro to get off the mark in their wins tally, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.53% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.43%
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (0.007000000000005 0.01)48.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.004999999999999 0)70.76% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)46.5% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.19% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.52%
    Queens Park Rangers 19.43%
    Draw 23.03%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 19.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
9.5%
Queens Park Rangers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
3-1
QPR
Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Chair (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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