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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
QPR


Greenwood (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dozzell (43'), Colback (71')
Colback (50'), Chair (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

With the pressure ramping up on both managers, this feels like an important fixture for differing reasons. While we think that QPR will give a good account of themselves, we are backing Boro to get off the mark in their wins tally, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.53% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.43%
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (0.007000000000005 0.01)48.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.004999999999999 0)70.76% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)46.5% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.19% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.52%
    Queens Park Rangers 19.43%
    Draw 23.03%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 19.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
9.5%
Queens Park Rangers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
3-1
QPR
Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Chair (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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