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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
West Brom logo

Watford
2 - 2
West Brom

Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

Watford were good value for their victory over Birmingham on the weekend, and the Vicarage Road faithful will be expecting a similar result against a West Brom side who struggle away from home. You feel that the Baggies have an extra gear to go up to when the likes of Maja and Sarmiento are eventually integrated into the XI, but we do not envisage Corberan's men earning anything from their trip to Hertfordshire on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
45.16% (-0.199 -0.2) 25.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 28.86% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (-0.125 -0.13)52.15% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13% (-0.107 -0.11)73.87% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.146 -0.15)23.03% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-0.217 -0.22)56.85% (0.221 0.22)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.048999999999992 0.05)32.65% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)69.2% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.16%
    West Bromwich Albion 28.86%
    Draw 25.98%
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 28.86%

How you voted: Watford vs West Brom

Watford
67.6%
Draw
26.5%
West Bromwich Albion
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
West Brom
2-2
Watford
Rondon (19'), Evans (21')
Livermore (87'), Evans (88'), McClean (90')
Doucoure (37'), Richarlison (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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