We said: Shandong Taishan 2-2 Shanghai Port
China's best team across the previous two seasons take on the current league leaders, who will sense an excellent opportunity to take one giant step towards lifting their second Chinese Super League title here.
However, the hosts are on an excellent run of form themselves and know that defeat would almost certainly see them removed from the title picture, so we can envisage an entertaining share of the spoils on Monday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.