Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Panama had a probability of 38.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.