MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 13:42:54| >> :60:249:249:
US Virgin Islands national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Mar 29, 2023 at 12am UK
 

US Virgin Islands
1 - 2
Sint Maarten

Kendall (76')
Harris (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lake (58'), Cox (86')
Tjen-A-Kwoei (58')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between US Virgin Islands and Sint Maarten.

Form, Standings, Stats

US Virgin Islands

Last Game: Turks & Caicos 1-0 US Virgin Islands
Saturday, March 25 at 7.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Sint Maarten

Last Game: Sint Maarten 6-1 Bonaire
Saturday, March 25 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint Maarten win with a probability of 64.09%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 18.54% and a draw had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint Maarten win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sint Maarten in this match.

Result
US Virgin IslandsDrawSint Maarten
18.54% (0.467 0.47) 17.36% (0.305 0.31) 64.09% (-0.771 -0.77)
Both teams to score 70% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.86% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)23.13% (0.708 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.56% (-0.961 -0.96)42.44% (0.96 0.96)
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)24.65% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)59.18% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.91% (-0.33099999999999 -0.33)7.09% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.15% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)25.85% (0.879 0.88)
Score Analysis
    US Virgin Islands 18.54%
    Sint Maarten 64.09%
    Draw 17.36%
US Virgin IslandsDrawSint Maarten
2-1 @ 4.53% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.45% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 1.71% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 18.54%
1-1 @ 6.48% (0.195 0.2)
2-2 @ 6% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.75% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 17.36%
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 7.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.4% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 5.29% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.147 0.15)
0-4 @ 3.57% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-4 @ 3.5% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-5 @ 2.65% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.89% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-4 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 5.24%
Total : 64.09%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 9.30pm
Sint Maarten
1-1
US Virgin Islands
K (83')
Charles Mack (8')
M (31'), Joseph (45+3'), Ramos (63'), T (77'), Mills (89')
rhs 2.0
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