CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Mar 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Sint Maarten
6 - 1
Bonaire

Anita (5' og.), Lake (9', 55', 84' pen.), Amatkarijo (46'), Illidge (62')
Forsythe (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Montero (69')
Clara (26'), Anita (56'), Serberie (83'), Sint Jago (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Sint Maarten and Bonaire.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

Last Game: Turks & Caicos 2-0 Sint Maarten
Tuesday, June 14 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bonaire

Last Game: Bonaire 2-0 US Virgin Islands
Tuesday, June 14 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint Maarten win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Bonaire had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint Maarten win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.74%) and 1-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Bonaire win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint Maarten would win this match.

Result
Sint Maarten	Draw	Bonaire
46.52% ( -0.43)	21.52% ( 0.19)	31.96% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 69.46% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.14% (

-0.84)

29.86% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.98% (

-1.02)

51.02% (

1.02)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0.45)

13.63% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.2% (

-0.91)

40.79% (

0.91)

Bonaire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42% (

-0.29)

19.58% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.49% (

-0.47)

51.5% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Sint Maarten 46.52%

Bonaire 31.96%

Draw 21.52%

Sint Maarten	Draw	Bonaire
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 46.52%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.52%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.96%