MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 15:57:44| >> :60:562:562:
Argentina national football team
Copa America | Semi-Finals
Jul 10, 2024 at 1am UK
MetLife Stadium
Canada national football team

Argentina
2 - 0
Canada

Alvarez (22'), Messi (51')
Molina (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

David (32'), Eustaquio (63'), Marsch (77'), Kone (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Canada could line up for Tuesday's Copa America clash with Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31

We said: Argentina 2-0 Canada

The Canadians have been one of the most captivating stories at this tournament, but fairytales do not always have a happy ending. Canada gave Argentina a stiff test in the opening game of this tournament, but there are far too many match-winners that La Seleccion can call upon when compared to the Canucks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
ArgentinaDrawCanada
61.74% (-10.482 -10.48) 21.55% (3.881 3.88) 16.71% (6.599 6.6)
Both teams to score 50.27% (6.028 6.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-1.925 -1.93)46.59% (1.923 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-1.832 -1.83)68.86% (1.829 1.83)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-3.586 -3.59)14.55% (3.584 3.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-7.39 -7.39)42.6% (7.387 7.39)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (9.139 9.14)41.16% (-9.144 -9.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3% (7.169 7.17)77.7% (-7.171 -7.17)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 61.73%
    Canada 16.71%
    Draw 21.54%
ArgentinaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-0 @ 11.12% (-2.35 -2.35)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.617 0.62)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-2.78 -2.78)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-2.04 -2.04)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.711 -0.71)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.473 0.47)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-1.096 -1.1)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.487 -0.49)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 61.73%
1-1 @ 10.24% (1.861 1.86)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.472 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.38% (1.202 1.2)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 5.32% (1.525 1.53)
1-2 @ 4.55% (1.669 1.67)
0-2 @ 2.36% (1.057 1.06)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.687 0.69)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.568 0.57)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.71%

How you voted: Argentina vs Canada

Argentina
85.5%
Canada
14.5%
289
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
2-0
Canada
Alvarez (49'), Martinez (88')
De Paul (61'), Lo Celso (90+1')

Kone (81'), Cornelius (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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