Chile0 - 1Argentina
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, June 22 at 1am in Copa America
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America
We said: Chile 1-2 Argentina
On matchday one, the Argentines looked vulnerable in transition, but they have an array of veterans and youthful players that can change the complexion of any match, which is why we have them winning this game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Chile win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Argentina |
17.81% ( -0.52) | 23.76% ( 0.09) | 58.43% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% ( -1.03) | 53.7% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% ( -0.88) | 75.19% ( 0.89) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.98% ( -1.23) | 44.02% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.86% ( -1.03) | 80.14% ( 1.04) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.22) | 18.16% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.86% ( -0.38) | 49.14% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.81% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 11.63% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 58.42% |
