MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 13:13:08| >> :60:493:493:
Brazil national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2024 at 2am UK
Levi's Stadium
Colombia national football team

Brazil
1 - 1
Colombia

Raphinha (12')
Junior (7'), Gomes (27'), Guimaraes (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Munoz (45+2')
Machado (25'), Lerma (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Brazil and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's Copa America clash with Colombia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Costa Rica
Friday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa America

We said: Brazil 1-1 Colombia

Both sides might be thinking long-term, with the Colombians already qualified for the next round, while Brazil have the inside track on second place, three points above Costa Rica with a +3 goal differential and Los Ticos at -3. Neither team want to risk injuries nor suspensions, so we expect a cagey but entertaining affair with some quality youngsters on each side eager to impress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrazilDrawColombia
51.49% (-0.979 -0.98) 24.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 23.91% (0.997 1)
Both teams to score 51.94% (1.187 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (1.009 1.01)50.01% (-1.007 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (0.892 0.89)71.99% (-0.89099999999999 -0.89)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (1.471 1.47)35.54% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (1.491 1.49)72.31% (-1.49 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 51.49%
    Colombia 23.91%
    Draw 24.59%
BrazilDrawColombia
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.192 0.19)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.91%

How you voted: Brazil vs Colombia

Brazil
48.9%
Draw
25.7%
Colombia
25.4%
409
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 12am
Group Stage
Colombia
2-1
Brazil
Diaz (75', 79')
Sanchez (20')
Martinelli (4')
Diniz (21'), Lodi (78'), Pepe (90'), (90')
Nov 12, 2021 12.30am
Oct 10, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Brazil
Lerma (48'), Borre (63')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Sep 7, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
Brazil
2-2
Colombia
rhs 2.0
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