We said: Brazil 1-1 Colombia
Both sides might be thinking long-term, with the Colombians already qualified for the next round, while Brazil have the inside track on second place, three points above Costa Rica with a +3 goal differential and Los Ticos at -3.
Neither team want to risk injuries nor suspensions, so we expect a cagey but entertaining affair with some quality youngsters on each side eager to impress.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.