MX23RW : Saturday, November 9 01:37:50| >> :60:3372:3372:
Colombia national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Costa Rica national football team

Colombia
3 - 0
Costa Rica

Diaz (31' pen.), Sanchez (59'), Cordoba (62')
Rios (41'), Cordoba (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ugalde (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Colombia and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Colombia 2-0 Costa Rica

Costa Rica have proven they can defend, but could be facing relentless pressure once again on Friday, and eventually fatigue may set in for Los Ticos against another strong attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawCosta Rica
54.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 23.17% (-0.026 -0.03) 22.06% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (0.175 0.18)45.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (0.168 0.17)68.22% (-0.164 -0.16)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.057999999999993 0.06)16.65% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.102 0.1)46.49% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (0.143 0.14)34.97% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (0.151 0.15)71.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 54.76%
    Costa Rica 22.06%
    Draw 23.17%
ColombiaDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.06%

How you voted: Colombia vs Costa Rica

Colombia
81.5%
Draw
13.3%
Costa Rica
5.2%
135
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2018 1am
International Friendlies
Colombia
3-1
Costa Rica
Bacca (30'), Hernandez (73', 90')
Arias (45')
Waston (44')
Oviedo (45'), Venegas (63')
rhs 2.0
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