MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:34:57| >> :60:192:192:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
FedEx Field
Colombia national football team

USA
1 - 5
Colombia

Weah (58')
Turner (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Arias (6'), Borre (19'), Rios (77'), Carrascal (85'), Sinisterra (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between USA and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-2 USA
Monday, March 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Nations League

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 3-2 Romania
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: USA 1-2 Colombia

 This should be a valuable match for both sides ahead of the Copa America, and we are expecting it to be close in terms of the scoreline. Colombia are in excellent form, though, and we are backing the talented outfit to put another positive result on the board here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
USADrawColombia
61.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 23.07% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 15.08% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 42.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75% (0.019999999999996 0.02)55.25% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.015999999999998 0.02)76.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)17.49% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)47.99% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.46% (0.107 0.11)48.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.38% (0.077999999999999 0.08)83.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    USA 61.84%
    Colombia 15.08%
    Draw 23.07%
USADrawColombia
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.84%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.87% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.08%

How you voted: USA vs Colombia

USA
26.5%
Draw
21.9%
Colombia
51.6%
155
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 12.30am
Friendlies 1
USA
0-0
Colombia
> Preview
Oct 12, 2018 12.45am
International Friendlies
USA
2-4
Colombia
Saief (50'), Wood (54')
Weah (32'), Robinson (35')
Rodriguez (36'), Bacca (56'), Falcao (74'), Borja (79')
Barrios (63')
rhs 2.0
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