World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Ecuador1 - 0Chile
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Ecuador 0-0 Chile
Ecuador have been steady if not spectacular so far and will expect to claim another result against a Chile side in disarray. The visitors will have to regroup quickly after the resignation of their manager just a few days ago, and an away trip to a side notoriously stingy in defence is not the ideal fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Chile had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.42%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Chile |
47.17% ( -0.38) | 29.64% ( 0.1) | 23.19% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 38.17% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
