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Argentina national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
Chile national football team

Argentina
1 - 1
Chile

Messi (33')
Martinez (30'), Martinez (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vargas (57')
Isla (25'), Pulgar (32'), Vidal (35')

Preview: Argentina vs. Chile - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Argentina's Copa America campaign gets underway on Monday night with a stern test in the form of an opener against regional neighbours Chile at Rio de Janeiro's Estadio Nilton Santos.

Argentina come into this tournament on the back of an unbeaten run that stretches all the way back to 2019. However, the national team have not managed to win the Copa America since 1993, almost thirty years ago.


Match preview

Argentina's Leandro Paredes celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on June 8, 2021© Reuters

Ever since the country's early 2018 World Cup exit under Jorge Sampaoli against France, Argentina have come a long way under new head coach Lionel Scaloni and hopes are high coming into this tournament.

The firm favourites in Group B, which comprises the continent's southern nations, Argentina will have to pick up points against the likes of Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia if they are to progress to the next round.

However, first and foremost La Albiceleste face Chile, a side who made life very difficult for Scaloni's men just days ago when they held them to a 1-1 draw in a World Cup qualification game.

Despite Argentina looking by far the more complete side, Scaloni's team struggled to break down their Chilean opposition.

A dramatic 2-2 draw with Colombia last week means that La Albiceleste come into this tournament without having won a game in 2021.

Chile's Alexis Sanchez celebrates scoring their first goal with Gary Medel on June 4, 2021© Reuters

Back-to-back Copa America winners in 2015 and 2016, Chile come into this tournament looking to win just the third title in their history.

Despite the half-decade that has passed since their last title, Chile's starting 11 remains very much the same, with the old guard of Alexis Sanchez and Eduardo Vargas leading the line and Claudio Bravo, Gary Medel and Mauricio Isla making up the defence.

Head coach Martin Lasarte does not appear too concerned with his ageing squad and will look to utilise the talents of these fan favourites to win back the title from holders and hosts Brazil.

Following their draw with Argentina earlier this month, Chile were held again by Bolivia in a 1-1 stalemate just days ago, with midfielder Erick Pulgar finding the back of the net for La Roja.

Much like their neighbours Argentina, Chile find themselves blowing hot and cold on the eve of this tournament, and Lasarte will know that his side will need to up the ante if they are to achieve anything this summer.

Argentina form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D

Chile form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Argentina coach Lionel Scaloni after the match on June 8, 2021© Reuters

Scaloni announced a strong squad this week that included the likes of Papu, Angel Correa, Angel Di Maria and Sergio Aguero alongside megastar Lionel Messi.

Notable absentees from the squad included promising Aston Villa attacker Emiliano Buendia and highly-rated Sevilla forward Lucas Ocampos.

Even with the addition of Aguero, Inter Milan forward Lautaro Martinez could still partner Messi in attack.

As for Chile, Lasarte is expected to opt for four at the back like he did against La Albiceleste earlier this month, partnering Medel with Guillermo Maripan.

Pulgar and Bayer Leverkusen's Charles Aranguiz are likely to provide cover for the defence in central midfield.

Argentina possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Montiel, Romero, Otamendi, Acuna; Lo Celso, Paredes, De Paul; Messi, Martinez, Di Maria

Chile possible starting lineup:
Bravo; Isla, Medel, Maripan, Mena; Pulgar, Vidal, Aranguiz, Meneses; Vargas, Sanchez


SM words green background

We say: Argentina 1-0 Chile

In what will be a tough opening test for both of these nations, viewers will likely be in for a cagey 90 minutes of football. We think Argentina will edge this one, but it will be by narrow margins.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chile had a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Argentina vs Chile

Argentina
80.3%
Draw
13.1%
Chile
6.6%
351
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Chile's Alexis Sanchez in action with Uruguay's Giovanni Gonzalez at the Copa America on June 24, 2019
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How Chile could line up against Colombia
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Argentina Argentina33009
Q Canada Canada31114
3 Chile Chile30212
4 Peru flag Peru30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Venezuela Venezuela33009
Q Ecuador flag Ecuador31114
3 Mexico Mexico31114
4 Jamaica Jamaica30030

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Uruguay flag Uruguay33009
Q Panama flag Panama32016
3 United States USA31023
4 Bolivia flag Bolivia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Colombia Colombia32107
Q Brazil Brazil31205
3 Costa Rica flag Costa Rica31114
4 Paraguay flag Paraguay30030


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