Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

France will be fully expectant of a win to make up for Saturday's defeat, even though Chile appear to be a side improving under new management. A fine attacking performance against an often resolute Albania was a big positive, and Chile should provide a threat but may come undone given the quality of the French. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Chile had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
France	Draw	Chile
65.29% ( -0.02)	21.03% ( -0)	13.67% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87% (

0.05)

50.12% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

0.05)

72.09% (

-0.05)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

0.01)

14.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.33% (

0.02)

42.67% (

-0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.48% (

0.07)

47.51% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.12% (

0.05)

82.87% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

France 65.29%

Chile 13.67%

Draw 21.03%

France	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 65.29%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.03%	0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.67%