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Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jan 28, 2022 at 12.15am UK
 
Argentina national football team

Chile
1 - 2
Argentina

Brereton Diaz (21')
Vegas (26'), Maripan (69'), Pulgar (76'), Sanchez (79'), Montecinos (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
di Maria (10'), Martinez (34')
Otamendi (39'), De Paul (54'), Paredes (72'), Tagliafico (90+5')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Argentina.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's 2022 World Cup CONMEBOL qualifier against Chile.

We said: Chile 0-1 Argentina

The pressure will be on Chile to secure all three points on Friday, while Argentina are merely looking to extend their unbeaten record, having already qualified. A closely-fought contest is set to be played out in Calama, and despite the absence of Messi, the visitors have enough quality in their side to secure a slender win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Chile had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawArgentina
26.88%24.33%48.79%
Both teams to score 55.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55%46.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27%68.73%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5%67.5%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89%19.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27%50.73%
Score Analysis
    Chile 26.88%
    Argentina 48.79%
    Draw 24.33%
ChileDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.88%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 48.79%

How you voted: Chile vs Argentina

Chile
14.0%
Draw
18.1%
Argentina
67.9%
221
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Messi (33')
Martinez (30'), Martinez (62')
Vargas (57')
Isla (25'), Pulgar (32'), Vidal (35')
Jun 4, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Martinez (43'), Romero (52')
Galdames (2'), Aranguiz (68')
Sep 6, 2019 3.30am
International Friendlies
Chile
0-0
Argentina
Aranguiz (7'), Baeza (49'), Vegas (75'), Pinares (77')
Paredes (6'), Dybala (15'), Tagliafico (57'), Montiel (59'), De Paul (62'), Dominguez (82')
Jul 6, 2019 8pm
Third-place playoff
Argentina
2-1
Chile
Jul 4, 2015 9pm
Final
Chile
0-0
Argentina
Chile win 4-1 on penalties
rhs 2.0
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