World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jan 28, 2022 at 12.15am UK
Chile1 - 2Argentina
FT(HT: 1-2)
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Argentina.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's 2022 World Cup CONMEBOL qualifier against Chile.
We said: Chile 0-1 Argentina
The pressure will be on Chile to secure all three points on Friday, while Argentina are merely looking to extend their unbeaten record, having already qualified. A closely-fought contest is set to be played out in Calama, and despite the absence of Messi, the visitors have enough quality in their side to secure a slender win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Chile had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Argentina |
| 26.88% | 24.33% | 48.79% |
| Both teams to score 55.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% | 46.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% | 68.73% |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% | 31.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% | 19.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Score Analysis |
Chile 26.88%
Argentina 48.79%
Draw 24.33%
| Chile | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.88% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.79% |
How you voted: Chile vs Argentina
Chile
14.0%Draw
18.1%Argentina
67.9%221
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2021 1am
Jul 6, 2019 8pm
Third-place playoff
Argentina
2-1
Chile
Jul 4, 2015 9pm
Form Guide
