MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:24:39| >> :600:1392112:1392112:
Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Constantino Navarro
Rayo Vallecano logo

Atletico Lugones
0 - 6
Rayo Vallecano


Suarez Cano (7'), Fernandez (45'), Basualdo (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Falcao (8' pen., 16'), Camello (40'), Bebe (62', 79'), Ratiu (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Lugones and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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We said: Atletico Lugones 0-5 Rayo Vallecano

We expect Rayo to showcase their top-flight quality and claim a comfortable victory, but even if Atletico Lugones suffer a heavy defeat, it will not stop Wednesday's contest from being an historic moment for the club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 96.84%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for Atletico Lugones had a probability of 0.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-4 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.88%) and 0-5 (12.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.23%), while for an Atletico Lugones win it was 1-0 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Atletico LugonesDrawRayo Vallecano
0.48% (0.018 0.02) 2.69% (0.0559 0.06) 96.84% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 19.9% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.49% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)18.52% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.05% (-0.22 -0.22)35.95% (0.224 0.22)
Atletico Lugones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
20.21% (0.285 0.29)79.79% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
2.2% (0.065 0.07)97.81% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.46% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)1.54% (0.0249 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
92.04% (-0.101 -0.1)7.96% (0.106 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Lugones 0.48%
    Rayo Vallecano 96.82%
    Draw 2.69%
Atletico LugonesDrawRayo Vallecano
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 0.48%
0-0 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
1-1 @ 1.16% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 2.69%
0-4 @ 15.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 14.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-5 @ 12.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 10.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-6 @ 9.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-7 @ 5.38% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.51% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.056 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-8 @ 2.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.05 0.05)
1-6 @ 2.04% (0.01 0.01)
0-9 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-7 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 96.82%

How you voted: Atletico Lugones vs Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Lugones
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Rayo Vallecano
71.4%
7
rhs 2.0
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